Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.006228 0.007145 0.008212 0.009561 0.011243 0.013302 0.016063
2026-01-18 0.005026 0.006154 0.007598 0.009636 0.012533 0.016667 0.023351
2026-01-25 0.004236 0.005397 0.006974 0.009369 0.013099 0.019068 0.030328
2026-02-01 0.003639 0.004762 0.006355 0.008901 0.013147 0.020586 0.036580
2026-02-08 0.003194 0.004267 0.005837 0.008453 0.013065 0.021792 0.042924
2026-02-15 0.002976 0.004065 0.005714 0.008592 0.014004 0.025241 0.056989
2026-02-22 0.002728 0.003786 0.005430 0.008398 0.014261 0.027369 0.069666
2026-03-01 0.002502 0.003517 0.005126 0.008113 0.014261 0.028917 0.082377
2026-03-08 0.002323 0.003303 0.004887 0.007907 0.014374 0.030804 0.099094
2026-03-15 0.002242 0.003239 0.004892 0.008159 0.015556 0.036197 0.141937
2026-03-22 0.002186 0.003209 0.004950 0.008522 0.017107 0.043733 0.221783
2026-03-29 0.002145 0.003199 0.005040 0.008967 0.019021 0.054114 0.386944
2026-04-05 0.002034 0.003069 0.004912 0.008959 0.019840 0.061675 0.619557
2026-04-12 0.001936 0.002954 0.004804 0.008983 0.020800 0.071249 1.126232
2026-04-19 0.001819 0.002796 0.004594 0.008738 0.020866 0.076694 1.817588
2026-04-26 0.001694 0.002616 0.004326 0.008313 0.020234 0.077808 2.506321
2026-05-03 0.001582 0.002453 0.004078 0.007905 0.019562 0.078282 3.445504
2026-05-10 0.001534 0.002401 0.004048 0.008032 0.020782 0.093078 14.013162
2026-05-17 0.001460 0.002299 0.003906 0.007855 0.020859 0.100117 55.604357
2026-05-24 0.001385 0.002189 0.003741 0.007596 0.020558 0.103980 391.211783
2026-05-31 0.001322 0.002099 0.003609 0.007408 0.020491 0.110234 NaN
2026-06-07 0.001299 0.002082 0.003631 0.007638 0.022208 0.138793 NaN
2026-06-14 0.001284 0.002081 0.003686 0.007968 0.024545 0.185517 NaN